Airbnb (ABNB) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ABNB — the calendar windows where Airbnb has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
ABNB's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 – Feb 15 | Bullish | +22.70% | 100% | 21d |
| Jan 16 – Feb 15 | Bullish | +22.18% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 17 – Feb 16 | Bullish | +21.58% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 18 – Feb 17 | Bullish | +19.78% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 26 – Feb 16 | Bullish | +19.31% | 100% | 21d |
| Jan 20 – Feb 19 | Bullish | +18.16% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 19 – Feb 18 | Bullish | +17.56% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 24 – Feb 14 | Bullish | +15.94% | 100% | 21d |
| Jan 15 – Feb 14 | Bullish | +15.88% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 10 – Feb 9 | Bullish | +15.70% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 21 – Feb 20 | Bullish | +15.12% | 100% | 30d |
| Jan 27 – Feb 17 | Bullish | +14.72% | 100% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ABNB seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is ABNB stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Airbnb's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ABNB has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.