Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for FERG — the calendar windows where Ferguson Enterprises has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
Data: 2016–2025 daily closes, split- and dividend-adjusted · updated Nov 2, 2026 · methodology
FERG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, FERG's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 23 – Nov 12: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.48% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, FERG has historically declined between Feb 25 – Mar 7, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 704 recurring seasonal windows for Ferguson Enterprises — 583 bullish and 121 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 3 – Nov 13, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
FERG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 16d ago | Sep 27 – Oct 17 | 20d | +2.41% | 80% | +3.98% |
| Completedended 84d ago | Jul 11 – Aug 10 | 30d | +3.26% | 80% | +15.97% |
| Active10d left | Nov 2 – Nov 12 | 10d | +4.90% | 90% | — |
| Active30d left | Nov 2 – Dec 2 | 30d | +6.27% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Nov 3 – Nov 13 | 10d | +3.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Nov 3 – Dec 3 | 30d | +5.38% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Nov 4 – Dec 4 | 30d | +4.86% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
FERG monthly seasonality
Over the last 10 years, Ferguson Enterprises's best calendar month has been November (average +6.18%, higher in 9 of 10 years) and its weakest March (average -4.85%, higher in 4 of 10 years). FERG has closed higher more often than not in 8 of the 12 months.
| Month | Avg return | Higher in | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +0.83% | 6 of 10 yrs | +12.11% | -11.48% |
| February | +0.97% | 6 of 10 yrs | +12.83% | -8.44% |
| March | -4.85% | 4 of 10 yrs | +13.42% | -35.10% |
| April | +4.18% | 7 of 10 yrs | +21.54% | -7.01% |
| May | +3.33% | 6 of 10 yrs | +10.76% | -4.13% |
| June | +0.20% | 5 of 10 yrs | +19.88% | -14.54% |
| July | +5.14% | 9 of 10 yrs | +14.98% | -2.90% |
| August | -0.13% | 5 of 10 yrs | +9.53% | -8.40% |
| September | +0.87% | 6 of 10 yrs | +11.95% | -10.87% |
| October | +1.51% | 5 of 10 yrs | +16.98% | -21.72% |
| NovemberNow | +6.18% | 9 of 10 yrs | +14.08% | -2.45% |
| December | +2.11% | 6 of 10 yrs | +17.69% | -19.23% |
Monthly return = close on the last day of the month vs. the last day of the month before, from split- and dividend-adjusted prices. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore FERG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
FERG seasonality FAQ
What is FERG's best month of the year?
Over the last 10 years, FERG's strongest calendar month has been November, with an average return of +6.18% and a gain in 9 of 10 years. Its weakest has been March, averaging -4.85%.
How does FERG usually perform in November?
FERG has closed November higher in 9 of the last 10 years, with an average return of +6.18%. Its best November returned +14.08% and its worst -2.45%.
What has historically been the best month to buy FERG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, FERG's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 23 to Nov 12, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +5.48%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is FERG's strongest seasonal pattern?
FERG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 23 – Nov 12 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.48%.
When has FERG historically performed worst?
FERG's weakest recurring window has been Feb 25 to Mar 7, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.43%.
How reliable are FERG's seasonal patterns?
Each FERG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. FERG currently shows 704 recurring windows (583 bullish, 121 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
New to seasonality? Read what stock seasonality is and how these numbers are calculated. Seasonality describes past behaviour, not a forecast.