Vivmark Residential (formerly AvalonBay) (VMRK) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VMRK — the calendar windows where Vivmark Residential (formerly AvalonBay) has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
Data: 2016–2025 daily closes, split- and dividend-adjusted · updated Nov 2, 2026 · methodology
VMRK seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, VMRK's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 20 – Apr 9: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.37% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, VMRK has historically declined between Sep 6 – Oct 6, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.35%).
In total, our analysis finds 544 recurring seasonal windows for Vivmark Residential (formerly AvalonBay) — 326 bullish and 218 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 4 – Nov 14, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
VMRK's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 25d ago | Sep 8 – Oct 8 | 30d | -3.27% | 90% | -8.30% |
| Completedended 26d ago | Sep 17 – Oct 7 | 20d | -2.49% | 80% | -4.78% |
| Active10d left | Nov 2 – Nov 12 | 10d | +3.17% | 80% | — |
| Active20d left | Nov 2 – Nov 22 | 20d | +4.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Nov 4 – Nov 14 | 10d | +3.48% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Nov 5 – Nov 15 | 10d | +2.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Nov 6 – Nov 16 | 10d | +3.34% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
VMRK monthly seasonality
Over the last 10 years, Vivmark Residential (formerly AvalonBay)'s best calendar month has been November (average +4.27%, higher in 6 of 10 years) and its weakest October (average -2.86%, higher in 3 of 10 years). VMRK has closed higher more often than not in 6 of the 12 months.
| Month | Avg return | Higher in | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | +0.78% | 4 of 10 yrs | +9.92% | -5.58% |
| February | -1.16% | 4 of 10 yrs | +6.12% | -9.60% |
| March | +2.76% | 6 of 10 yrs | +13.54% | -17.00% |
| April | +0.14% | 7 of 10 yrs | +5.43% | -9.36% |
| May | -0.50% | 6 of 10 yrs | +4.33% | -6.92% |
| June | +0.90% | 6 of 10 yrs | +9.64% | -5.18% |
| July | +1.27% | 6 of 10 yrs | +9.26% | -8.82% |
| August | +1.41% | 5 of 10 yrs | +7.55% | -6.64% |
| September | -2.28% | 3 of 10 yrs | +4.72% | -8.43% |
| October | -2.86% | 3 of 10 yrs | +6.78% | -8.48% |
| NovemberNow | +4.27% | 6 of 10 yrs | +23.30% | -4.01% |
| December | +0.00% | 5 of 10 yrs | +8.75% | -8.07% |
Monthly return = close on the last day of the month vs. the last day of the month before, from split- and dividend-adjusted prices. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VMRK seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
VMRK seasonality FAQ
What is VMRK's best month of the year?
Over the last 10 years, VMRK's strongest calendar month has been November, with an average return of +4.27% and a gain in 6 of 10 years. Its weakest has been October, averaging -2.86%.
How does VMRK usually perform in November?
VMRK has closed November higher in 6 of the last 10 years, with an average return of +4.27%. Its best November returned +23.30% and its worst -4.01%.
What has historically been the best month to buy VMRK stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, VMRK's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 20 to Apr 9, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.37%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is VMRK's strongest seasonal pattern?
VMRK's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 20 – Apr 9 window (20-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.37%.
When has VMRK historically performed worst?
VMRK's weakest recurring window has been Sep 6 to Oct 6, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.35%.
How reliable are VMRK's seasonal patterns?
Each VMRK pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. VMRK currently shows 544 recurring windows (326 bullish, 218 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
New to seasonality? Read what stock seasonality is and how these numbers are calculated. Seasonality describes past behaviour, not a forecast.