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Tutorial 02 · 4 min
How to interpret seasonal trend charts
The Seasonal Curve shows a stock’s “average year” — how it has typically moved from January to December, averaged over many years. It turns years of history into one easy-to-read line.
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- 1The averaged ‘typical year’ line (Jan → Dec).
- 2Blue Start arrow — where the pattern begins.
- 3Gold End arrow — where the pattern ends.
- 4Cumulative % return on the vertical axis.
Real-world example
On Apple’s chart, the green line climbs steadily into year-end. A pattern from 07/26 to 08/16 is marked with a blue “Start” arrow and a gold “End” arrow, showing exactly where that seasonal window sits within the typical year.
Step-by-step
- 1Open any pattern’s detail (click a row in Analyse, the Dashboard, or expand a Saved pattern).
- 2Find the Seasonal Curve — the single line running left (Jan) to right (Dec).
- 3Read the vertical axis: it shows the cumulative % return since the start of the year.
- 4Locate the blue Start arrow and gold End arrow — that’s the pattern’s window.
- 5See whether the line rises (bullish) or falls (bearish) across that window.
What to expect & how to read it
A rising line between the Start and End arrows means the stock has historically gained during that window; a falling line means it has historically dropped. The steeper the move, the stronger the seasonal tendency.
Common mistakes to avoid
- ✕ Reading the curve as a prediction — it’s a historical average, not a forecast.
- ✕ Ignoring how bumpy the line is. A smooth climb is more reliable than a jagged one (check Std Dev too).
Tips for beginners
- ✓ The line is the averaged ‘typical year’ — individual years vary, which is why win rate and std dev matter.
- ✓ Blue = Start, Gold = End. The colour coding makes the window easy to spot at a glance.