Best Seasonal Stocks for July: 8 Historically Strong Setups
June 17, 2026
Few seasonal windows are as well-known as the early-summer run in large-cap US stocks. Heading into Q2 earnings, money tends to flow back into the biggest names — and the data over the last 15 years backs it up. Below are eight stocks whose roughly mid-June to mid-July window has been historically strong, ranked by average return.
8 strong July seasonal setups
| Stock | Window | Avg return | Win rate (15y) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla (TSLA) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +9.0% | 80% |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +6.6% | 100% |
| Amazon (AMZN) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +6.6% | 93% |
| Apple (AAPL) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +6.0% | 93% |
| Visa (V) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +5.0% | 93% |
| Meta (META) | Jun 18 – Jul 18 | +4.4% | 86% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | Jun 17 – Jul 17 | +4.2% | 87% |
| JPMorgan (JPM) | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | +4.2% | 93% |
What stands out is the consistency: Alphabet has been positive in this window every one of the last 15 years, and Amazon, Apple, Visa and JPMorgan have all hit 93%. These aren’t obscure names — they’re the most-watched stocks in the market, which is part of why the pattern persists (predictable earnings timing and quarter-start fund flows).
Why this window tends to work
- Pre-earnings positioning — investors build exposure ahead of Q2 reports.
- Start-of-quarter inflows — new money is allocated at the beginning of July.
- Index and fund rebalancing around quarter-end.
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Open the Pattern ScreenerPast seasonal performance does not guarantee future results. Win rates and average returns are historical base rates, not predictions. This is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice.
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