Alcoa (AA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AA — the calendar windows where Alcoa has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
AA's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18 – Dec 28 | Bullish | +5.93% | 90% | 10d |
| Aug 10 – Aug 20 | Bearish | -3.60% | 90% | 10d |
| Oct 13 – Oct 23 | Bullish | +2.49% | 90% | 10d |
| Oct 21 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +7.13% | 80% | 21d |
| Jan 10 – Jan 31 | Bearish | -7.01% | 80% | 21d |
| Oct 29 – Nov 8 | Bullish | +6.82% | 80% | 10d |
| Oct 30 – Nov 9 | Bullish | +6.18% | 80% | 10d |
| Dec 17 – Jan 7 | Bullish | +6.17% | 80% | 21d |
| Oct 28 – Nov 7 | Bullish | +6.13% | 80% | 10d |
| Jun 6 – Jun 27 | Bearish | -6.06% | 80% | 21d |
| Jan 7 – Jan 28 | Bearish | -5.99% | 80% | 21d |
| Dec 16 – Dec 26 | Bullish | +5.96% | 80% | 10d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is AA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Alcoa's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.