Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AAP — the calendar windows where Advance Auto Parts, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
AAP's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13 – Sep 3 | Bearish | -5.85% | 90% | 21d |
| Nov 1 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +5.12% | 90% | 10d |
| Jul 1 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +4.86% | 90% | 21d |
| Jun 16 – Jul 16 | Bullish | +4.73% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 25 – Jul 16 | Bullish | +4.60% | 90% | 21d |
| Jun 26 – Jul 17 | Bullish | +4.57% | 90% | 21d |
| Dec 22 – Jan 12 | Bullish | +4.46% | 90% | 21d |
| Jul 6 – Jul 27 | Bullish | +3.94% | 90% | 21d |
| Jul 7 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +3.92% | 90% | 21d |
| Jul 8 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +3.86% | 90% | 21d |
| Jan 20 – Feb 10 | Bearish | -3.52% | 90% | 21d |
| Jan 22 – Feb 21 | Bearish | -3.37% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AAP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is AAP stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Advance Auto Parts, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AAP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.