American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AEO — the calendar windows where American Eagle Outfitters has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
AEO's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9 – Aug 8 | Bullish | +9.49% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 12 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +7.49% | 90% | 30d |
| Jul 18 – Aug 8 | Bullish | +7.23% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 20 – Nov 10 | Bullish | +6.12% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 21 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +5.68% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 28 – Oct 19 | Bearish | -5.41% | 90% | 21d |
| Jan 10 – Feb 9 | Bullish | +3.01% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 8 – Nov 29 | Bullish | +11.61% | 80% | 21d |
| Nov 21 – Dec 12 | Bullish | +11.41% | 80% | 21d |
| Oct 19 – Nov 18 | Bullish | +8.89% | 80% | 30d |
| Jul 8 – Aug 7 | Bullish | +8.17% | 80% | 30d |
| Oct 18 – Nov 17 | Bullish | +7.98% | 80% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AEO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is AEO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing American Eagle Outfitters's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AEO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.