Etsy (ETSY) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ETSY — the calendar windows where Etsy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
ETSY's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27 – Jul 27 | Bullish | +9.86% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 21 – Jul 21 | Bullish | +7.77% | 100% | 30d |
| May 24 – Jun 23 | Bullish | +14.41% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 19 – Dec 19 | Bullish | +10.69% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 13 – Jul 13 | Bullish | +10.57% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 20 – Dec 20 | Bullish | +10.11% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 2 – Mar 23 | Bearish | -9.90% | 90% | 21d |
| Nov 10 – Dec 1 | Bullish | +9.57% | 90% | 21d |
| May 24 – Jun 14 | Bullish | +9.13% | 90% | 21d |
| Mar 2 – Apr 1 | Bearish | -9.11% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 22 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +8.25% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 3 – Mar 24 | Bearish | -8.13% | 90% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ETSY seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is ETSY stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Etsy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ETSY has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.