Five Below (FIVE) Seasonality

Recurring seasonal patterns for FIVE — the calendar windows where Five Below has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.

Patterns found
819
Bullish windows
10
Bearish windows
2
Best win rate
90%

FIVE's strongest seasonal patterns

Seasonal windowDirectionAvg returnWin rateHold
Nov 30 – Dec 30Bullish+6.90%90%30d
Nov 28 – Dec 8Bullish+5.61%90%10d
Mar 16 – Mar 26Bullish+5.37%90%10d
May 25 – Jun 4Bullish+5.31%90%10d
Dec 16 – Jan 6Bullish+4.70%90%21d
Dec 15 – Jan 5Bullish+4.27%90%21d
Oct 5 – Nov 4Bullish+4.11%90%30d
Feb 8 – Feb 18Bullish+3.97%90%10d
Jan 30 – Feb 20Bullish+3.76%90%21d
Jan 12 – Jan 22Bearish-2.93%90%10d
Nov 13 – Nov 23Bullish+2.58%90%10d
Jan 11 – Jan 21Bearish-2.47%90%10d

Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Explore FIVE seasonality in full

See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.

What is FIVE stock seasonality?

Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Five Below's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where FIVE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.

Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.

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