Harley-Davidson (HOG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for HOG — the calendar windows where Harley-Davidson has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
HOG's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 – Oct 14 | Bearish | -5.83% | 100% | 30d |
| Sep 13 – Oct 13 | Bearish | -6.05% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 15 – Oct 6 | Bearish | -5.77% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 9 – Oct 9 | Bearish | -5.41% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 12 – Oct 12 | Bearish | -5.32% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 19 – Oct 10 | Bearish | -5.30% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 10 – Oct 10 | Bearish | -5.01% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 18 – Oct 9 | Bearish | -4.97% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 17 – Oct 8 | Bearish | -4.59% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 11 – Oct 11 | Bearish | -4.58% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 20 – Oct 11 | Bearish | -4.28% | 90% | 21d |
| Jan 8 – Feb 7 | Bearish | -4.24% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore HOG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is HOG stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Harley-Davidson's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where HOG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.