iShares Gold Trust (IAU) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for IAU — the calendar windows where iShares Gold Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
IAU's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14 – Jan 13 | Bullish | +3.47% | 100% | 30d |
| Dec 13 – Jan 12 | Bullish | +3.08% | 100% | 30d |
| Dec 12 – Jan 11 | Bullish | +3.06% | 100% | 30d |
| Dec 8 – Jan 7 | Bullish | +3.02% | 100% | 30d |
| Dec 9 – Jan 8 | Bullish | +2.70% | 100% | 30d |
| Dec 7 – Jan 6 | Bullish | +2.66% | 100% | 30d |
| Apr 1 – Apr 11 | Bullish | +2.64% | 100% | 10d |
| Mar 31 – Apr 10 | Bullish | +2.02% | 100% | 10d |
| Mar 30 – Apr 9 | Bullish | +1.94% | 100% | 10d |
| Dec 21 – Dec 31 | Bullish | +1.59% | 100% | 10d |
| Mar 14 – Apr 13 | Bullish | +4.82% | 90% | 30d |
| Dec 15 – Jan 14 | Bullish | +3.57% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore IAU seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is IAU stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares Gold Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where IAU has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.