iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for IEF — the calendar windows where iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
IEF's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7 – Oct 7 | Bearish | -1.73% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 8 – Oct 8 | Bearish | -1.69% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 6 – Oct 6 | Bearish | -1.53% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 9 – Oct 9 | Bearish | -1.51% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 21 – Oct 21 | Bearish | -1.47% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 11 – Oct 11 | Bearish | -1.46% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 5 – Oct 5 | Bearish | -1.45% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 22 – Oct 22 | Bearish | -1.39% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 23 – Oct 23 | Bearish | -1.32% | 90% | 30d |
| Sep 16 – Oct 7 | Bearish | -1.29% | 90% | 21d |
| Sep 17 – Oct 8 | Bearish | -1.22% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 1 – Oct 22 | Bearish | -1.19% | 90% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore IEF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is IEF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where IEF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.