iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for IEFA — the calendar windows where iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
IEFA's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20 – Dec 30 | Bullish | +1.11% | 100% | 10d |
| Apr 4 – May 4 | Bullish | +3.01% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 27 – Jul 27 | Bullish | +2.93% | 90% | 30d |
| Apr 6 – May 6 | Bullish | +2.76% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +2.74% | 90% | 30d |
| Jun 28 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +2.57% | 90% | 30d |
| Dec 20 – Jan 19 | Bullish | +2.52% | 90% | 30d |
| Dec 19 – Jan 9 | Bullish | +2.08% | 90% | 21d |
| May 29 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +2.01% | 90% | 10d |
| Jun 7 – Jun 17 | Bearish | -2.00% | 90% | 10d |
| Jun 4 – Jun 25 | Bearish | -1.92% | 90% | 21d |
| Dec 18 – Jan 8 | Bullish | +1.88% | 90% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore IEFA seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is IEFA stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where IEFA has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.