iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for IVV — the calendar windows where iShares Core S&P 500 ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
IVV's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +4.00% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 30 – Nov 29 | Bullish | +3.99% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 28 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +3.98% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 12 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +3.69% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 11 – Nov 10 | Bullish | +3.69% | 100% | 30d |
| May 9 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +3.55% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 20 – Jul 20 | Bullish | +3.52% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 22 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +3.44% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 21 – Jul 21 | Bullish | +3.42% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 23 – Jul 23 | Bullish | +3.27% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 18 – Jul 18 | Bullish | +3.25% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 19 – Jul 19 | Bullish | +3.25% | 100% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore IVV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is IVV stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing iShares Core S&P 500 ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where IVV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.