Macy's (M) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for M — the calendar windows where Macy's has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
M's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 – Nov 27 | Bullish | +18.71% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 29 – Nov 28 | Bullish | +18.19% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 30 – Nov 29 | Bullish | +19.13% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 27 – Nov 26 | Bullish | +18.03% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 31 – Nov 30 | Bullish | +17.90% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 19 – Nov 18 | Bullish | +17.38% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 18 – Nov 17 | Bullish | +13.87% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 17 – Nov 16 | Bullish | +12.82% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 27 – Nov 17 | Bullish | +12.48% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 17 – Nov 7 | Bullish | +8.28% | 90% | 21d |
| Mar 17 – Apr 16 | Bearish | -7.99% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 16 – Apr 15 | Bearish | -7.59% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore M seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is M stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Macy's's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where M has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.