McDonald's (MCD) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MCD — the calendar windows where McDonald's has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
MCD's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4 – May 4 | Bullish | +4.73% | 100% | 30d |
| Apr 5 – May 5 | Bullish | +4.25% | 100% | 30d |
| Nov 15 – Dec 15 | Bullish | +3.34% | 100% | 30d |
| Nov 4 – Nov 25 | Bullish | +2.76% | 100% | 21d |
| Apr 16 – May 7 | Bullish | +2.58% | 100% | 21d |
| Jun 27 – Jul 18 | Bullish | +2.46% | 100% | 21d |
| Apr 13 – May 4 | Bullish | +2.39% | 100% | 21d |
| Jun 29 – Jul 20 | Bullish | +2.30% | 100% | 21d |
| Mar 23 – Apr 22 | Bullish | +6.68% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 18 – Apr 17 | Bullish | +6.20% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 19 – Apr 18 | Bullish | +5.53% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 23 – Apr 13 | Bullish | +5.47% | 90% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MCD seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is MCD stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing McDonald's's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MCD has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.