Microsoft (MSFT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MSFT — the calendar windows where Microsoft has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
MSFT's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 – Jul 14 | Bullish | +5.46% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 13 – Jul 13 | Bullish | +5.26% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 16 – Jul 16 | Bullish | +4.60% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 12 – Jul 12 | Bullish | +4.50% | 100% | 30d |
| May 22 – Jun 21 | Bullish | +4.20% | 100% | 30d |
| May 9 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +4.14% | 100% | 30d |
| May 18 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +3.60% | 100% | 21d |
| May 17 – Jun 7 | Bullish | +3.39% | 100% | 21d |
| May 19 – Jun 9 | Bullish | +3.36% | 100% | 21d |
| May 20 – Jun 10 | Bullish | +3.27% | 100% | 21d |
| Jun 27 – Jul 7 | Bullish | +2.98% | 100% | 10d |
| May 22 – Jun 12 | Bullish | +2.93% | 100% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MSFT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is MSFT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Microsoft's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MSFT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.