Murphy Oil (MUR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for MUR — the calendar windows where Murphy Oil has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
MUR's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10 – Feb 9 | Bearish | -8.19% | 90% | 30d |
| Mar 24 – Apr 14 | Bullish | +6.26% | 90% | 21d |
| Nov 4 – Nov 14 | Bullish | +5.34% | 90% | 10d |
| Jan 29 – Feb 8 | Bearish | -3.46% | 90% | 10d |
| Mar 22 – Apr 1 | Bullish | +2.70% | 90% | 10d |
| Nov 3 – Nov 24 | Bullish | +10.63% | 80% | 21d |
| Nov 4 – Nov 25 | Bullish | +10.00% | 80% | 21d |
| Mar 23 – Apr 13 | Bullish | +9.10% | 80% | 21d |
| Jan 12 – Feb 2 | Bearish | -8.31% | 80% | 21d |
| May 30 – Jun 9 | Bullish | +8.11% | 80% | 10d |
| Sep 14 – Oct 5 | Bullish | +7.62% | 80% | 21d |
| Jan 12 – Feb 11 | Bearish | -7.41% | 80% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore MUR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is MUR stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Murphy Oil's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where MUR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.