Shopify (SHOP.TO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SHOP.TO — the calendar windows where Shopify has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
SHOP.TO's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 – Nov 30 | Bullish | +14.32% | 100% | 21d |
| May 24 – Jun 23 | Bullish | +12.16% | 100% | 30d |
| Nov 10 – Dec 10 | Bullish | +11.78% | 100% | 30d |
| Nov 7 – Dec 7 | Bullish | +11.42% | 100% | 30d |
| May 25 – Jun 24 | Bullish | +10.65% | 100% | 30d |
| May 26 – Jun 25 | Bullish | +9.47% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 31 – Nov 30 | Bullish | +15.65% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 29 – Nov 28 | Bullish | +14.79% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 9 – Dec 9 | Bullish | +13.03% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 6 – Nov 27 | Bullish | +12.52% | 90% | 21d |
| Nov 7 – Nov 28 | Bullish | +11.88% | 90% | 21d |
| Aug 2 – Sep 1 | Bullish | +10.72% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SHOP.TO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is SHOP.TO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Shopify's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SHOP.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.