Supermicro (SMCI) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SMCI — the calendar windows where Supermicro has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
SMCI's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 – Dec 2 | Bullish | +12.49% | 90% | 30d |
| Feb 9 – Feb 19 | Bullish | +11.20% | 90% | 10d |
| Nov 3 – Dec 3 | Bullish | +10.96% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 31 – Nov 30 | Bullish | +10.52% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 1 – Dec 1 | Bullish | +10.05% | 90% | 30d |
| Nov 2 – Nov 23 | Bullish | +8.64% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 31 – Nov 21 | Bullish | +8.07% | 90% | 21d |
| Feb 13 – Feb 23 | Bullish | +7.71% | 90% | 10d |
| Nov 3 – Nov 24 | Bullish | +7.22% | 90% | 21d |
| May 12 – May 22 | Bullish | +6.43% | 90% | 10d |
| Jul 6 – Jul 16 | Bullish | +6.15% | 90% | 10d |
| Dec 20 – Dec 30 | Bearish | -2.22% | 90% | 10d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SMCI seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is SMCI stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Supermicro's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SMCI has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.