VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for SMH — the calendar windows where VanEck Semiconductor ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
SMH's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +6.02% | 100% | 21d |
| Oct 18 – Nov 8 | Bullish | +5.82% | 100% | 21d |
| Oct 19 – Nov 9 | Bullish | +5.10% | 100% | 21d |
| Jul 3 – Jul 13 | Bullish | +3.10% | 100% | 10d |
| Jul 2 – Jul 12 | Bullish | +3.06% | 100% | 10d |
| Feb 6 – Feb 16 | Bullish | +2.53% | 100% | 10d |
| May 9 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +8.89% | 90% | 30d |
| May 11 – Jun 10 | Bullish | +8.70% | 90% | 30d |
| May 7 – Jun 6 | Bullish | +8.69% | 90% | 30d |
| May 6 – Jun 5 | Bullish | +8.68% | 90% | 30d |
| May 8 – Jun 7 | Bullish | +8.41% | 90% | 30d |
| May 12 – Jun 11 | Bullish | +8.25% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore SMH seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is SMH stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing VanEck Semiconductor ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where SMH has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.