Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VCIT — the calendar windows where Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
VCIT's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21 – Mar 31 | Bullish | +1.55% | 100% | 10d |
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +1.39% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 22 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +1.35% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 21 – Jul 21 | Bullish | +1.25% | 100% | 30d |
| Jul 1 – Jul 31 | Bullish | +1.22% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 13 – Jul 13 | Bullish | +1.22% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 30 – Jul 30 | Bullish | +1.22% | 100% | 30d |
| Jul 11 – Aug 1 | Bullish | +1.19% | 100% | 21d |
| Jun 23 – Jul 23 | Bullish | +1.19% | 100% | 30d |
| Jul 10 – Jul 31 | Bullish | +1.13% | 100% | 21d |
| Jul 9 – Jul 30 | Bullish | +1.11% | 100% | 21d |
| Jul 8 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +1.11% | 100% | 21d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VCIT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is VCIT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VCIT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.