Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares (VFINX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VFINX — the calendar windows where Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
VFINX's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 – Nov 29 | Bullish | +3.98% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +3.98% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 28 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +3.97% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 12 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +3.67% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 11 – Nov 10 | Bullish | +3.66% | 100% | 30d |
| May 9 – Jun 8 | Bullish | +3.56% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 20 – Jul 20 | Bullish | +3.47% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 22 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +3.41% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 21 – Jul 21 | Bullish | +3.38% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 23 – Jul 23 | Bullish | +3.23% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 18 – Jul 18 | Bullish | +3.21% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 19 – Jul 19 | Bullish | +3.21% | 100% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VFINX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is VFINX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VFINX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.