Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for VYM — the calendar windows where Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
VYM's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 – Nov 29 | Bullish | +4.38% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 27 – Nov 26 | Bullish | +4.33% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 26 – Nov 25 | Bullish | +3.97% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 12 – Nov 11 | Bullish | +3.78% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 27 – Jul 27 | Bullish | +3.59% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 26 – Jul 26 | Bullish | +3.44% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 28 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +3.43% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +3.40% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 13 – Nov 12 | Bullish | +3.10% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 14 – Nov 13 | Bullish | +3.07% | 100% | 30d |
| Oct 15 – Nov 14 | Bullish | +2.96% | 100% | 30d |
| Mar 23 – Apr 2 | Bullish | +2.94% | 100% | 10d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore VYM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is VYM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where VYM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.