Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLE — the calendar windows where Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
XLE's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23 – Apr 13 | Bullish | +6.45% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 29 – Nov 28 | Bullish | +4.90% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 28 – Nov 18 | Bullish | +4.48% | 90% | 21d |
| Mar 24 – Apr 14 | Bullish | +4.36% | 90% | 21d |
| Oct 27 – Nov 17 | Bullish | +4.15% | 90% | 21d |
| May 30 – Jun 9 | Bullish | +3.71% | 90% | 10d |
| May 31 – Jun 10 | Bullish | +3.46% | 90% | 10d |
| Dec 28 – Jan 7 | Bullish | +3.10% | 90% | 10d |
| Mar 22 – Apr 1 | Bullish | +2.63% | 90% | 10d |
| Jul 20 – Jul 30 | Bullish | +1.92% | 90% | 10d |
| Jun 24 – Jul 4 | Bullish | +1.50% | 90% | 10d |
| Jul 25 – Aug 4 | Bearish | -1.42% | 90% | 10d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLE seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is XLE stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLE has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.