Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for XLF — the calendar windows where Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on up to 10 years of price history.
XLF's strongest seasonal patterns
| Seasonal window | Direction | Avg return | Win rate | Hold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +4.15% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 23 – Jul 23 | Bullish | +3.73% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 22 – Jul 22 | Bullish | +3.64% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 21 – Jul 21 | Bullish | +3.34% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 20 – Jul 20 | Bullish | +3.33% | 100% | 30d |
| Jun 19 – Jul 19 | Bullish | +2.98% | 100% | 30d |
| Jul 6 – Jul 27 | Bullish | +2.97% | 100% | 21d |
| Jul 19 – Jul 29 | Bullish | +1.70% | 100% | 10d |
| Jul 18 – Jul 28 | Bullish | +1.18% | 100% | 10d |
| Jun 30 – Jul 10 | Bullish | +1.14% | 100% | 10d |
| Oct 29 – Nov 28 | Bullish | +6.67% | 90% | 30d |
| Oct 31 – Nov 30 | Bullish | +6.64% | 90% | 30d |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore XLF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
What is XLF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where XLF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.