Anglo American (AAL.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AAL.L — the calendar windows where Anglo American has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AAL.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AAL.L's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 20 – Dec 30: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.64% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, AAL.L has historically declined between Mar 3 – Mar 23, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -6.92%).
In total, our analysis finds 882 recurring seasonal windows for Anglo American — 676 bullish and 206 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 18, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AAL.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 29d ago | Jun 8 – Jun 28 | 20d | -4.86% | 80% | -4.05% |
| Completedended 30d ago | Jun 7 – Jun 27 | 20d | -4.49% | 80% | -3.58% |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | -5.31% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | -3.82% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | -2.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | -1.14% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Sep 2 | 30d | -1.61% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AAL.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AAL.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AAL.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AAL.L's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 20 to Dec 30, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +2.64%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AAL.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
AAL.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 20 – Dec 30 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.64%.
When has AAL.L historically performed worst?
AAL.L's weakest recurring window has been Mar 3 to Mar 23, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -6.92%.
How reliable are AAL.L's seasonal patterns?
Each AAL.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AAL.L currently shows 882 recurring windows (676 bullish, 206 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AAL.L stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Anglo American's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AAL.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.