Apple Inc. (AAPL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AAPL — the calendar windows where Apple Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AAPL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AAPL's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 15 – Jul 15: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.14% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AAPL has historically declined between Sep 1 – Sep 11, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.77%).
In total, our analysis finds 766 recurring seasonal windows for Apple Inc. — 660 bullish and 106 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AAPL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jul 4 – Jul 24 | 20d | +3.36% | 90% | +4.22% |
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +5.70% | 100% | +9.75% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +6.48% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +6.75% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +6.44% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | +6.85% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | +5.63% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AAPL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AAPL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AAPL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AAPL's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 15 to Jul 15, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.14%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AAPL's strongest seasonal pattern?
AAPL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 15 – Jul 15 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.14%.
When has AAPL historically performed worst?
AAPL's weakest recurring window has been Sep 1 to Sep 11, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.77%.
How reliable are AAPL's seasonal patterns?
Each AAPL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AAPL currently shows 766 recurring windows (660 bullish, 106 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AAPL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Apple Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AAPL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.