Associated British Foods (ABF.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ABF.L — the calendar windows where Associated British Foods has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ABF.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ABF.L's strongest seasonal window has been Feb 12 – Feb 22: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.59% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, ABF.L has historically declined between Sep 3 – Oct 3, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -6.36%).
In total, our analysis finds 623 recurring seasonal windows for Associated British Foods — 272 bullish and 351 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 12 – Sep 11, opens in 16 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ABF.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 84d ago | Apr 24 – May 4 | 10d | -2.61% | 90% | -0.49% |
| Completedended 99d ago | Mar 30 – Apr 19 | 20d | +4.22% | 80% | +1.43% |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Sep 11 | 30d | -5.81% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Sep 12 | 30d | -5.54% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 11 | 20d | -4.76% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 12 | 20d | -4.66% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 28d | Aug 24 – Sep 13 | 20d | -5.24% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ABF.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ABF.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ABF.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ABF.L's strongest seasonal window starts in February: Feb 12 to Feb 22, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +2.59%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ABF.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
ABF.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Feb 12 – Feb 22 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +2.59%.
When has ABF.L historically performed worst?
ABF.L's weakest recurring window has been Sep 3 to Oct 3, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -6.36%.
How reliable are ABF.L's seasonal patterns?
Each ABF.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ABF.L currently shows 623 recurring windows (272 bullish, 351 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ABF.L stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Associated British Foods's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ABF.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.