Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ABR — the calendar windows where Arbor Realty Trust has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ABR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ABR's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 16 – Aug 15: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.68% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ABR has historically declined between Mar 11 – Apr 10, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -4.91%).
In total, our analysis finds 759 recurring seasonal windows for Arbor Realty Trust — 554 bullish and 205 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 1 – Aug 11, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ABR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 9d ago | Jul 8 – Jul 18 | 10d | +1.31% | 80% | +5.28% |
| Completedended 10d ago | Jul 7 – Jul 17 | 10d | +2.34% | 80% | +4.86% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +2.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 5d | Aug 1 – Aug 31 | 30d | +5.17% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +3.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 22 | 20d | +3.12% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Sep 1 | 30d | +5.43% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ABR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ABR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ABR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ABR's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 16 to Aug 15, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.68%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ABR's strongest seasonal pattern?
ABR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 16 – Aug 15 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.68%.
When has ABR historically performed worst?
ABR's weakest recurring window has been Mar 11 to Apr 10, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -4.91%.
How reliable are ABR's seasonal patterns?
Each ABR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ABR currently shows 759 recurring windows (554 bullish, 205 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ABR stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Arbor Realty Trust's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ABR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.