Barrick Gold (ABX.TO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ABX.TO — the calendar windows where Barrick Gold has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ABX.TO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ABX.TO's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 14 – Apr 13: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +13.22% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ABX.TO has historically declined between Feb 18 – Feb 28, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.43%).
In total, our analysis finds 727 recurring seasonal windows for Barrick Gold — 592 bullish and 135 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 22 – Oct 2, opens in 57 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ABX.TO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 51d ago | May 17 – Jun 6 | 20d | -2.20% | 80% | -1.22% |
| Completedended 57d ago | May 11 – May 31 | 20d | -3.14% | 80% | -8.16% |
| Upcomingin 57d | Sep 22 – Oct 2 | 10d | -1.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 84d | Oct 19 – Oct 29 | 10d | -2.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 108d | Nov 12 – Dec 2 | 20d | +2.58% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 109d | Nov 13 – Dec 3 | 20d | +3.25% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 109d | Nov 13 – Dec 13 | 30d | +4.31% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ABX.TO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ABX.TO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ABX.TO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ABX.TO's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 14 to Apr 13, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +13.22%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ABX.TO's strongest seasonal pattern?
ABX.TO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 14 – Apr 13 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +13.22%.
When has ABX.TO historically performed worst?
ABX.TO's weakest recurring window has been Feb 18 to Feb 28, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.43%.
How reliable are ABX.TO's seasonal patterns?
Each ABX.TO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ABX.TO currently shows 727 recurring windows (592 bullish, 135 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ABX.TO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Barrick Gold's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ABX.TO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.