Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ADM — the calendar windows where Archer Daniels Midland has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ADM seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ADM's strongest seasonal window has been Mar 20 – Apr 19: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.90% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ADM has historically declined between Sep 16 – Sep 26, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -2.60%).
In total, our analysis finds 625 recurring seasonal windows for Archer Daniels Midland — 438 bullish and 187 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 11 – Aug 31, opens in 15 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ADM's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +2.68% | 80% | +13.86% |
| Completedended 11d ago | Jun 26 – Jul 16 | 20d | +2.25% | 80% | +8.09% |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Aug 31 | 20d | +1.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 17d | Aug 13 – Sep 2 | 20d | +1.49% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Aug 14 – Sep 3 | 20d | +1.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 19d | Aug 15 – Sep 4 | 20d | +1.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 39d | Sep 4 – Sep 24 | 20d | -1.19% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ADM seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ADM seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ADM stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ADM's strongest seasonal window starts in March: Mar 20 to Apr 19, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.90%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ADM's strongest seasonal pattern?
ADM's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Mar 20 – Apr 19 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.90%.
When has ADM historically performed worst?
ADM's weakest recurring window has been Sep 16 to Sep 26, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -2.60%.
How reliable are ADM's seasonal patterns?
Each ADM pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ADM currently shows 625 recurring windows (438 bullish, 187 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ADM stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Archer Daniels Midland's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ADM has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.