ADT Inc. (ADT) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ADT — the calendar windows where ADT Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 8 years of price history. ADT Inc. has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 8 available years.
ADT seasonality at a glance
Over the last 8 years, ADT's strongest seasonal window has been May 9 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 7 of 8 years (88% win rate) with an average return of +11.52% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ADT has historically declined between Feb 16 – Mar 18, falling in 7 of 8 years (average -15.30%).
In total, our analysis finds 789 recurring seasonal windows for ADT Inc. — 494 bullish and 295 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 16 – Oct 6, opens in 51 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ADT's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 8d ago | Jun 29 – Jul 19 | 20d | +3.67% | 88% | +7.69% |
| Completedended 9d ago | Jun 28 – Jul 18 | 20d | +3.36% | 88% | +9.55% |
| Upcomingin 51d | Sep 16 – Oct 6 | 20d | +1.15% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 93d | Oct 28 – Nov 17 | 20d | +4.96% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 93d | Oct 28 – Nov 27 | 30d | +5.23% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 94d | Oct 29 – Nov 8 | 10d | +3.92% | 88% | — |
| Upcomingin 94d | Oct 29 – Nov 18 | 20d | +5.26% | 88% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ADT seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ADT seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ADT stock?
Based on the last 8 years of price data, ADT's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 9 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 7 of 8 years (88% win rate) with an average return of +11.52%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ADT's strongest seasonal pattern?
ADT's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 9 – Jun 8 window (30-day hold): up in 7 of the last 8 years with an average move of +11.52%.
When has ADT historically performed worst?
ADT's weakest recurring window has been Feb 16 to Mar 18, declining in 7 of 8 years with an average return of -15.30%.
How reliable are ADT's seasonal patterns?
Each ADT pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 8 years it repeated in the same direction. ADT currently shows 789 recurring windows (494 bullish, 295 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ADT stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing ADT Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ADT has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.