American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AEO — the calendar windows where American Eagle Outfitters has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AEO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AEO's strongest seasonal window has been Jul 9 – Aug 8: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.49% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AEO has historically declined between Apr 23 – May 23, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -5.12%).
In total, our analysis finds 799 recurring seasonal windows for American Eagle Outfitters — 494 bullish and 305 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 16 – Oct 16, opens in 5 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AEO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 15d ago | Aug 17 – Aug 27 | 10d | +2.08% | 80% | +2.08% |
| Completedended 31d ago | Aug 1 – Aug 11 | 10d | +5.66% | 80% | +1.05% |
| Upcomingin 5d | Sep 16 – Oct 16 | 30d | -4.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Sep 19 – Oct 19 | 30d | -3.61% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Sep 20 – Oct 10 | 20d | -3.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Sep 20 – Oct 20 | 30d | -2.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Sep 21 – Oct 21 | 30d | -2.44% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AEO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AEO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AEO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AEO's strongest seasonal window starts in July: Jul 9 to Aug 8, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +9.49%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AEO's strongest seasonal pattern?
AEO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jul 9 – Aug 8 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +9.49%.
When has AEO historically performed worst?
AEO's weakest recurring window has been Apr 23 to May 23, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -5.12%.
How reliable are AEO's seasonal patterns?
Each AEO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AEO currently shows 799 recurring windows (494 bullish, 305 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AEO stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing American Eagle Outfitters's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AEO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.