American Financial Group (AFG) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AFG — the calendar windows where American Financial Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AFG seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AFG's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 16 – Nov 15: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.14% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AFG has historically declined between Mar 14 – Mar 24, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.65%).
In total, our analysis finds 564 recurring seasonal windows for American Financial Group — 442 bullish and 122 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 17, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AFG's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Jun 24 – Jul 24 | 30d | +1.72% | 80% | +2.76% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Jun 23 – Jul 23 | 30d | +1.61% | 80% | +3.62% |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +2.01% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | +1.41% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Aug 4 – Sep 3 | 30d | +3.93% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 15 | 10d | +2.55% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Aug 5 – Aug 25 | 20d | +3.41% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AFG seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AFG seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AFG stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AFG's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 16 to Nov 15, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.14%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AFG's strongest seasonal pattern?
AFG's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 16 – Nov 15 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.14%.
When has AFG historically performed worst?
AFG's weakest recurring window has been Mar 14 to Mar 24, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.65%.
How reliable are AFG's seasonal patterns?
Each AFG pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AFG currently shows 564 recurring windows (442 bullish, 122 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AFG stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing American Financial Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AFG has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.