Aflac (AFL) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AFL — the calendar windows where Aflac has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AFL seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AFL's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 29 – Nov 28: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.29% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AFL has historically declined between Nov 30 – Dec 20, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -2.25%).
In total, our analysis finds 580 recurring seasonal windows for Aflac — 452 bullish and 128 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 7, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AFL's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Jul 13 – Jul 23 | 10d | +1.34% | 80% | +0.84% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +1.72% | 80% | +6.03% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | +4.47% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | +3.63% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 7 | 10d | +2.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 17 | 20d | +4.10% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | +3.77% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AFL seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AFL seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AFL stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AFL's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 29 to Nov 28, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.29%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AFL's strongest seasonal pattern?
AFL's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 29 – Nov 28 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.29%.
When has AFL historically performed worst?
AFL's weakest recurring window has been Nov 30 to Dec 20, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -2.25%.
How reliable are AFL's seasonal patterns?
Each AFL pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AFL currently shows 580 recurring windows (452 bullish, 128 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AFL stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Aflac's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AFL has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.