AGL Energy (AGL.AX) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AGL.AX — the calendar windows where AGL Energy has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AGL.AX seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AGL.AX's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 9 – Dec 9: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.13% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AGL.AX has historically declined between Aug 7 – Sep 6, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -6.29%).
In total, our analysis finds 601 recurring seasonal windows for AGL Energy — 354 bullish and 247 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 27, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AGL.AX's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Jul 6 – Jul 16 | 10d | -1.82% | 80% | -1.43% |
| Active20d left | Jul 27 – Aug 16 | 20d | -3.53% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Jul 27 – Aug 26 | 30d | -5.27% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | -4.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 18 | 20d | -3.88% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 28 | 30d | -4.69% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AGL.AX seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AGL.AX seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AGL.AX stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AGL.AX's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 9 to Dec 9, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +4.13%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AGL.AX's strongest seasonal pattern?
AGL.AX's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 9 – Dec 9 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.13%.
When has AGL.AX historically performed worst?
AGL.AX's weakest recurring window has been Aug 7 to Sep 6, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -6.29%.
How reliable are AGL.AX's seasonal patterns?
Each AGL.AX pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AGL.AX currently shows 601 recurring windows (354 bullish, 247 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AGL.AX stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing AGL Energy's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AGL.AX has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.