Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AGO — the calendar windows where Assured Guaranty Ltd. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AGO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AGO's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 11 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.10% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AGO has historically declined between May 6 – May 16, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -4.36%).
In total, our analysis finds 799 recurring seasonal windows for Assured Guaranty Ltd. — 560 bullish and 239 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 6, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AGO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 4d ago | Oct 12 – Oct 22 | 10d | +2.24% | 80% | +0.99% |
| Completedended 8d ago | Sep 18 – Oct 18 | 30d | +7.06% | 80% | +0.71% |
| Active20d left | Oct 26 – Nov 15 | 20d | +6.17% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Oct 26 – Nov 25 | 30d | +8.94% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 6 | 10d | +3.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +7.72% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +9.95% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AGO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AGO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AGO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AGO's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 11 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +8.10%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AGO's strongest seasonal pattern?
AGO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 11 – Nov 10 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +8.10%.
When has AGO historically performed worst?
AGO's weakest recurring window has been May 6 to May 16, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -4.36%.
How reliable are AGO's seasonal patterns?
Each AGO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AGO currently shows 799 recurring windows (560 bullish, 239 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AGO stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Assured Guaranty Ltd.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AGO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.