Alaska Air Group (ALK) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ALK — the calendar windows where Alaska Air Group has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ALK seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ALK's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 31 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.96% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, ALK has historically declined between Apr 23 – May 13, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -5.19%).
In total, our analysis finds 813 recurring seasonal windows for Alaska Air Group — 453 bullish and 360 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 19 – Sep 8, opens in 23 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ALK's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 57d ago | May 21 – May 31 | 10d | +1.57% | 80% | +12.00% |
| Completedended 75d ago | Apr 23 – May 13 | 20d | -5.19% | 90% | -6.32% |
| Upcomingin 23d | Aug 19 – Sep 8 | 20d | +4.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 24d | Aug 20 – Sep 9 | 20d | +4.67% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 25d | Aug 21 – Sep 10 | 20d | +5.05% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 11 | 20d | +5.62% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 27d | Aug 23 – Sep 2 | 10d | +3.04% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ALK seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ALK seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ALK stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ALK's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 31 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.96%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ALK's strongest seasonal pattern?
ALK's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 31 – Nov 10 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.96%.
When has ALK historically performed worst?
ALK's weakest recurring window has been Apr 23 to May 13, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -5.19%.
How reliable are ALK's seasonal patterns?
Each ALK pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ALK currently shows 813 recurring windows (453 bullish, 360 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ALK stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Alaska Air Group's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ALK has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.