Amerisafe, Inc. (AMSF) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AMSF — the calendar windows where Amerisafe, Inc. has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AMSF seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AMSF's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 12 – Nov 11: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.92% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AMSF has historically declined between Sep 2 – Oct 2, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.10%).
In total, our analysis finds 579 recurring seasonal windows for Amerisafe, Inc. — 348 bullish and 231 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 30 – Aug 19, opens in 3 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AMSF's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 6d ago | Jun 21 – Jul 21 | 30d | +2.20% | 80% | +8.49% |
| Completedended 10d ago | Jun 27 – Jul 17 | 20d | +2.49% | 80% | +0.44% |
| Active10d left | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | -2.37% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 19 | 20d | +1.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 29 | 30d | +1.17% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 20 | 20d | +2.20% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +1.94% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AMSF seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AMSF seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AMSF stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AMSF's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 12 to Nov 11, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +7.92%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AMSF's strongest seasonal pattern?
AMSF's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 12 – Nov 11 window (30-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.92%.
When has AMSF historically performed worst?
AMSF's weakest recurring window has been Sep 2 to Oct 2, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.10%.
How reliable are AMSF's seasonal patterns?
Each AMSF pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AMSF currently shows 579 recurring windows (348 bullish, 231 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AMSF stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Amerisafe, Inc.'s price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AMSF has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.