Amazon (AMZN) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AMZN — the calendar windows where Amazon has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AMZN seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AMZN's strongest seasonal window has been Jun 13 – Jul 13: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.60% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AMZN has historically declined between Mar 1 – Mar 11, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -1.66%).
In total, our analysis finds 710 recurring seasonal windows for Amazon — 577 bullish and 133 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 3 – Aug 13, opens in 7 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AMZN's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jul 2 – Jul 22 | 20d | +3.41% | 80% | +0.90% |
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +5.21% | 80% | +5.18% |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +2.02% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 20d | Aug 16 – Sep 15 | 30d | +1.09% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 21d | Aug 17 – Sep 16 | 30d | +1.18% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 1 | 10d | +2.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 26d | Aug 22 – Sep 11 | 20d | +2.17% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AMZN seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AMZN seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AMZN stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AMZN's strongest seasonal window starts in June: Jun 13 to Jul 13, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.60%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AMZN's strongest seasonal pattern?
AMZN's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jun 13 – Jul 13 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.60%.
When has AMZN historically performed worst?
AMZN's weakest recurring window has been Mar 1 to Mar 11, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -1.66%.
How reliable are AMZN's seasonal patterns?
Each AMZN pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AMZN currently shows 710 recurring windows (577 bullish, 133 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AMZN stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Amazon's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AMZN has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.