AppLovin (APP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for APP — the calendar windows where AppLovin has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 5 years of price history. AppLovin has less than 10 years of trading history, so these patterns use all 5 available years.
APP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 5 years, APP's strongest seasonal window has been Jan 26 – Feb 15: it ended higher in 4 of 4 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +33.53% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, APP has historically declined between Feb 15 – Feb 25, falling in 4 of 4 years (average -17.00%).
In total, our analysis finds 952 recurring seasonal windows for AppLovin — 692 bullish and 260 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Nov 2 – Nov 12, opens in 7 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
APP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 36d ago | Aug 21 – Sep 20 | 30d | +15.22% | 80% | +0.75% |
| Completedended 39d ago | Aug 18 – Sep 17 | 30d | +17.50% | 80% | +4.67% |
| Upcomingin 7d | Nov 2 – Nov 12 | 10d | +20.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 8d | Nov 3 – Nov 13 | 10d | +18.42% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 9d | Nov 4 – Nov 14 | 10d | +19.39% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 10d | Nov 5 – Nov 15 | 10d | +15.71% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Nov 8 – Nov 28 | 20d | -2.89% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore APP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
APP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy APP stock?
Based on the last 5 years of price data, APP's strongest seasonal window starts in January: Jan 26 to Feb 15, which ended higher in 4 of 4 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +33.53%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is APP's strongest seasonal pattern?
APP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Jan 26 – Feb 15 window (20-day hold): up in 4 of the last 4 years with an average move of +33.53%.
When has APP historically performed worst?
APP's weakest recurring window has been Feb 15 to Feb 25, declining in 4 of 4 years with an average return of -17.00%.
How reliable are APP's seasonal patterns?
Each APP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 5 years it repeated in the same direction. APP currently shows 952 recurring windows (692 bullish, 260 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is APP stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing AppLovin's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where APP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.