Armour Residential REIT (ARR) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ARR — the calendar windows where Armour Residential REIT has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ARR seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ARR's strongest seasonal window has been May 21 – Jun 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.18% across a 20-day hold. On the weak side, ARR has historically declined between Feb 16 – Mar 18, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -8.00%).
In total, our analysis finds 650 recurring seasonal windows for Armour Residential REIT — 371 bullish and 279 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 6, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ARR's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 32d ago | Sep 14 – Sep 24 | 10d | -3.21% | 80% | -7.54% |
| Completedended 33d ago | Sep 13 – Sep 23 | 10d | -2.99% | 80% | -6.14% |
| Active10d left | Oct 26 – Nov 5 | 10d | +2.54% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 6 | 10d | +2.47% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +6.24% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +3.78% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Oct 29 – Nov 8 | 10d | +3.96% | 90% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ARR seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ARR seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ARR stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ARR's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 21 to Jun 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +4.18%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ARR's strongest seasonal pattern?
ARR's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 21 – Jun 10 window (20-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +4.18%.
When has ARR historically performed worst?
ARR's weakest recurring window has been Feb 16 to Mar 18, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -8.00%.
How reliable are ARR's seasonal patterns?
Each ARR pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ARR currently shows 650 recurring windows (371 bullish, 279 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ARR stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Armour Residential REIT's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ARR has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.