Arrow Electronics (ARW) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ARW — the calendar windows where Arrow Electronics has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ARW seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ARW's strongest seasonal window has been May 29 – Jun 8: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.93% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, ARW has historically declined between Aug 29 – Sep 8, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -2.72%).
In total, our analysis finds 627 recurring seasonal windows for Arrow Electronics — 435 bullish and 192 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 6 – Aug 26, opens in 10 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ARW's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 44d ago | May 14 – Jun 13 | 30d | +3.51% | 90% | +5.85% |
| Completedended 45d ago | May 23 – Jun 12 | 20d | +3.93% | 80% | +4.35% |
| Upcomingin 10d | Aug 6 – Aug 26 | 20d | +1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 13d | Aug 9 – Aug 29 | 20d | +2.60% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 14d | Aug 10 – Aug 30 | 20d | +2.68% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 15d | Aug 11 – Aug 31 | 20d | +2.15% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 16d | Aug 12 – Aug 22 | 10d | +1.05% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ARW seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ARW seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ARW stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ARW's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 29 to Jun 8, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +3.93%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ARW's strongest seasonal pattern?
ARW's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 29 – Jun 8 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +3.93%.
When has ARW historically performed worst?
ARW's weakest recurring window has been Aug 29 to Sep 8, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -2.72%.
How reliable are ARW's seasonal patterns?
Each ARW pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ARW currently shows 627 recurring windows (435 bullish, 192 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ARW stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Arrow Electronics's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ARW has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.