ASML Holding (ASML.AS) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for ASML.AS — the calendar windows where ASML Holding has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
ASML.AS seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, ASML.AS's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 15 – Nov 14: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.54% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, ASML.AS has historically declined between Jul 28 – Aug 27, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.79%).
In total, our analysis finds 738 recurring seasonal windows for ASML Holding — 637 bullish and 101 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 28 – Aug 27, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
ASML.AS's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 11d ago | Jun 26 – Jul 16 | 20d | +1.44% | 80% | +1.28% |
| Completedended 11d ago | Jun 16 – Jul 16 | 30d | +2.53% | 80% | +0.45% |
| Active10d left | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | -1.53% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Jul 28 – Aug 27 | 30d | -1.79% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 44d | Sep 9 – Sep 19 | 10d | +2.89% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 59d | Sep 24 – Oct 4 | 10d | +1.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 75d | Oct 10 – Nov 9 | 30d | +4.45% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore ASML.AS seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
ASML.AS seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy ASML.AS stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, ASML.AS's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 15 to Nov 14, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.54%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is ASML.AS's strongest seasonal pattern?
ASML.AS's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 15 – Nov 14 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.54%.
When has ASML.AS historically performed worst?
ASML.AS's weakest recurring window has been Jul 28 to Aug 27, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.79%.
How reliable are ASML.AS's seasonal patterns?
Each ASML.AS pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. ASML.AS currently shows 738 recurring windows (637 bullish, 101 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is ASML.AS stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing ASML Holding's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where ASML.AS has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.