Aviva (AV.L) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AV.L — the calendar windows where Aviva has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AV.L seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AV.L's strongest seasonal window has been Dec 19 – Dec 29: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.36% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, AV.L has historically declined between Jun 8 – Jun 28, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -3.39%).
In total, our analysis finds 566 recurring seasonal windows for Aviva — 366 bullish and 200 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Aug 2 – Aug 12, opens in 6 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AV.L's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 87d ago | Apr 11 – May 1 | 20d | +1.58% | 80% | +0.11% |
| Completedended 105d ago | Mar 14 – Apr 13 | 30d | -2.32% | 80% | -0.94% |
| Upcomingin 6d | Aug 2 – Aug 12 | 10d | +4.96% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 7d | Aug 3 – Aug 13 | 10d | +4.08% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 18d | Aug 14 – Sep 3 | 20d | -2.51% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 19d | Aug 15 – Sep 4 | 20d | -2.10% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 22d | Aug 18 – Sep 7 | 20d | -1.09% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AV.L seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AV.L seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AV.L stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AV.L's strongest seasonal window starts in December: Dec 19 to Dec 29, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +1.36%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AV.L's strongest seasonal pattern?
AV.L's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Dec 19 – Dec 29 window (10-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +1.36%.
When has AV.L historically performed worst?
AV.L's weakest recurring window has been Jun 8 to Jun 28, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -3.39%.
How reliable are AV.L's seasonal patterns?
Each AV.L pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AV.L currently shows 566 recurring windows (366 bullish, 200 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AV.L stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing Aviva's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AV.L has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.