AeroVironment (AVAV) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AVAV — the calendar windows where AeroVironment has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AVAV seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AVAV's strongest seasonal window has been May 25 – Jun 4: it ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.56% across a 10-day hold. On the weak side, AVAV has historically declined between Nov 16 – Dec 16, falling in 9 of 10 years (average -7.32%).
In total, our analysis finds 858 recurring seasonal windows for AeroVironment — 699 bullish and 159 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Jul 29 – Aug 8, opens in 2 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AVAV's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 7d ago | Jun 30 – Jul 20 | 20d | -2.72% | 80% | -13.61% |
| Completedended 33d ago | Jun 4 – Jun 24 | 20d | -3.54% | 80% | -30.44% |
| Upcomingin 2d | Jul 29 – Aug 8 | 10d | +1.59% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 3d | Jul 30 – Aug 9 | 10d | +1.29% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 4d | Jul 31 – Aug 30 | 30d | +4.98% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 73d | Oct 8 – Nov 7 | 30d | +4.22% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 74d | Oct 9 – Nov 8 | 30d | +3.59% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AVAV seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AVAV seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AVAV stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AVAV's strongest seasonal window starts in May: May 25 to Jun 4, which ended higher in 9 of 10 years (90% win rate) with an average return of +5.56%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AVAV's strongest seasonal pattern?
AVAV's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the May 25 – Jun 4 window (10-day hold): up in 9 of the last 10 years with an average move of +5.56%.
When has AVAV historically performed worst?
AVAV's weakest recurring window has been Nov 16 to Dec 16, declining in 9 of 10 years with an average return of -7.32%.
How reliable are AVAV's seasonal patterns?
Each AVAV pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AVAV currently shows 858 recurring windows (699 bullish, 159 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AVAV stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing AeroVironment's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AVAV has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.