American Express (AXP) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AXP — the calendar windows where American Express has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AXP seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AXP's strongest seasonal window has been Oct 11 – Nov 10: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.69% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AXP has historically declined between Jul 23 – Aug 2, falling in 10 of 10 years (average -2.54%).
In total, our analysis finds 736 recurring seasonal windows for American Express — 599 bullish and 137 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Oct 27 – Nov 16, opens tomorrow. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AXP's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 3d ago | Oct 3 – Oct 23 | 20d | +2.47% | 80% | +3.77% |
| Completedended 4d ago | Oct 2 – Oct 22 | 20d | +2.84% | 80% | +7.73% |
| Active20d left | Oct 26 – Nov 15 | 20d | +5.94% | 80% | — |
| Active30d left | Oct 26 – Nov 25 | 30d | +6.77% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 16 | 20d | +6.40% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingtomorrow | Oct 27 – Nov 26 | 30d | +6.73% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 2d | Oct 28 – Nov 7 | 10d | +2.91% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AXP seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AXP seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AXP stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AXP's strongest seasonal window starts in October: Oct 11 to Nov 10, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +7.69%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AXP's strongest seasonal pattern?
AXP's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Oct 11 – Nov 10 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +7.69%.
When has AXP historically performed worst?
AXP's weakest recurring window has been Jul 23 to Aug 2, declining in 10 of 10 years with an average return of -2.54%.
How reliable are AXP's seasonal patterns?
Each AXP pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AXP currently shows 736 recurring windows (599 bullish, 137 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AXP stock seasonality?
Seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing American Express's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AXP has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.