AutoZone (AZO) Seasonality
Recurring seasonal patterns for AZO — the calendar windows where AutoZone has historically tended to rise or fall, with the win rate (how often it repeated) and average return for each, based on the last 10 years of price history.
AZO seasonality at a glance
Over the last 10 years, AZO's strongest seasonal window has been Nov 4 – Dec 4: it ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.17% across a 30-day hold. On the weak side, AZO has historically declined between May 10 – May 20, falling in 8 of 10 years (average -1.61%).
In total, our analysis finds 599 recurring seasonal windows for AutoZone — 517 bullish and 82 bearish. The next high-win-rate window, Sep 18 – Sep 28, opens in 53 days. These figures describe historical behaviour only — not a forecast.
AZO's upcoming & recent seasonal patterns
Holding period:10-day20-day30-dayOrdered by season — windows opening soon first, plus a couple of recently completed high-performers. Holding-period colors help you compare durations at a glance.
| Status | Seasonal window | Hold | Avg return | Win rate | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completedended 5d ago | Jun 22 – Jul 22 | 30d | +2.28% | 80% | +0.79% |
| Completedended 22d ago | Jun 5 – Jul 5 | 30d | +2.27% | 80% | +1.37% |
| Active10d left | Jul 27 – Aug 6 | 10d | +1.32% | 90% | — |
| Upcomingin 53d | Sep 18 – Sep 28 | 10d | +1.69% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 54d | Sep 19 – Sep 29 | 10d | +2.92% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 56d | Sep 21 – Oct 1 | 10d | +1.45% | 80% | — |
| Upcomingin 69d | Oct 4 – Oct 14 | 10d | +1.38% | 80% | — |
Win rate = how often the pattern repeated in the same direction. Average return = the mean move across all analysed years. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Explore AZO seasonality in full
See the seasonal curve chart, filter by win rate and return, and track upcoming windows — free during beta.
AZO seasonality FAQ
What has historically been the best month to buy AZO stock?
Based on the last 10 years of price data, AZO's strongest seasonal window starts in November: Nov 4 to Dec 4, which ended higher in 10 of 10 years (100% win rate) with an average return of +6.17%. Past seasonal patterns do not guarantee future performance.
What is AZO's strongest seasonal pattern?
AZO's highest-win-rate pattern in our data is the Nov 4 – Dec 4 window (30-day hold): up in 10 of the last 10 years with an average move of +6.17%.
When has AZO historically performed worst?
AZO's weakest recurring window has been May 10 to May 20, declining in 8 of 10 years with an average return of -1.61%.
How reliable are AZO's seasonal patterns?
Each AZO pattern is scored by its historical win rate — the share of the last 10 years it repeated in the same direction. AZO currently shows 599 recurring windows (517 bullish, 82 bearish). Seasonality describes historical tendencies only; it is not a prediction, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
What is AZO stock seasonality?
Stock seasonality is the tendency of a stock to perform in a similar way during the same period each year. By analysing AutoZone's price history across many years, SeasonalityX identifies recurring calendar windows — exact start and end dates — where AZO has repeatedly risen (bullish) or fallen (bearish). Each pattern is scored by its win rate and average return so you can judge how reliable and how strong it has been.
Seasonality is one input among many — it works best alongside your own research and risk management. Learn more in our guide to seasonal analysis and the tutorials.